INFORMATION GATHERING AND ASSIMILATION

  • We review all relevant filings and disclosures, and have informal discussions with managers, competitors, customers and suppliers.
  • We add value through our longstanding relationships with companies.
  • Our Portfolio Managers are skilled and proven in “connecting the dots”.

EFFICIENT DECISION MAKING

    • We believe strongly that accountable individuals and or very small teams make the best investment decisions.
    • Our streamlined process avoids the “lowest common denominator” decisions frequently produced by investment committees.
    • We believe popularity is usually inversely correlated with future returns (although it sometimes feels lonely not to own such “popular” positions).

    TARGET PRICES

    • Each security in the portfolio has a one-year target price (TP) attached to it. 
    • Each TP takes into account a base case, a stretch upside and a stretch downside.
    • This exercise forces us to think hard about these different scenarios. To arrive at the target price, we consider the likelihood of each scenario and weight them accordingly. 
    • The process is fluid, e.g., target prices will change as a function of the overall market.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    • We define risk as the possibility of losing capital, not as a security’s deviation from any particular benchmark.
    • Value investing is inherently risk averse, with attractive valuations representing the “margin of safety”.
    • We occasionally use cash as a risk management tool, as circumstances warrant.

    SELL DISCIPLINE: WHEN TO SELL?

    • Stock reaches TP.
    • A more compelling opportunity emerges.
    • Thesis is invalidated.