INFORMATION GATHERING AND ASSIMILATION
- We review all relevant filings and disclosures, and have informal discussions with managers, competitors, customers and suppliers.
- We add value through our longstanding relationships with companies.
- Our Portfolio Managers are skilled and proven in “connecting the dots”.
EFFICIENT DECISION MAKING
- We believe strongly that accountable individuals and or very small teams make the best investment decisions.
- Our streamlined process avoids the “lowest common denominator” decisions frequently produced by investment committees.
- We believe popularity is usually inversely correlated with future returns (although it sometimes feels lonely not to own such “popular” positions).
TARGET PRICES
- Each security in the portfolio has a one-year target price (TP) attached to it.
- Each TP takes into account a base case, a stretch upside and a stretch downside.
- This exercise forces us to think hard about these different scenarios. To arrive at the target price, we consider the likelihood of each scenario and weight them accordingly.
- The process is fluid, e.g., target prices will change as a function of the overall market.
RISK MANAGEMENT
- We define risk as the possibility of losing capital, not as a security’s deviation from any particular benchmark.
- Value investing is inherently risk averse, with attractive valuations representing the “margin of safety”.
- We occasionally use cash as a risk management tool, as circumstances warrant.
SELL DISCIPLINE: WHEN TO SELL?
- Stock reaches TP.
- A more compelling opportunity emerges.
- Thesis is invalidated.